Sporting Trestina vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
LAN
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
OST
2 - 1
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
RIE
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 3
MON
20%
23%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
SSD
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 3
NUO
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 2
SSD
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FLA
4 - 0
SSD
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |