Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SDT
1 - 1
SPO
49%
24%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 3
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
GRO
4 - 3
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 2
SPO
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
POM
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
3 - 1
MPO
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 0
GRO
13%
18%
70%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SDT
1 - 0
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POM
3 - 1
FOL
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 1
MON
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |