Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAS
3 - 1
SPO
77%
16%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 3
GAV
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
VOL
29%
25%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PIA
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 0
FOL
82%
14%
4%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
FOL
44%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 2
MPO
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
USP
1 - 0
FOL
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |