Sporting Trestina vs FiesoleCal... analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PIE
0 - 2
SPO
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
CAS
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 2
SPO
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 2
SCA
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 2
SPO
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FIE
3 - 4
TOD
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
FIE
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FIE
1 - 1
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
FIE
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FIE
0 - 1
PIA
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |