Sporting Trestina vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 2
SPO
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
TOD
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
SPO
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
PIA
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ORV
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 3
PIE
21%
22%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 0
BAS
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
LAN
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCA
1 - 1
BAS
73%
17%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |