Sporting Trestina vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 2
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 3
OST
37%
27%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RIE
5 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ULD
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
ARZ
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARZ
3 - 0
MUR
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ULD
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
ARZ
74%
16%
9%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |