Sporting Trestina vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
CAS
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TOD
1 - 2
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 0
SPO
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARZ
3 - 0
VOL
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
4 - 2
ARZ
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SCA
1 - 0
ARZ
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PIE
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |