Sporting Toulon Var vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
8º
8º
28
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
SPO
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
HYE
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LPV
2 - 2
SPO
64%
23%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPO
47%
27%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAN
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HYE
1 - 0
THO
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
THO
0 - 1
LPV
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
THO
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 0
THO
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
THO
0 - 0
GRA
40%
25%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |