Sporting Toulon Var vs Olympique Lyonnais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
15º
13º
32
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
OLY
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CSL
3 - 0
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
GRA
24%
27%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HYE
0 - 0
SPO
44%
29%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
THO
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
SAI
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
OLY
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
5 - 0
CSL
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 3
OLY
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |