Sporting Toulon Var vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
SPO
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
EVI
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
GAR
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 0
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
5%
17%
78%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
FRE
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EVI
0 - 0
NIC
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 3
GRA
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |