Sporting Toulon Var vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GAZ
3 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
AND
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 1
SPO
47%
28%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAE
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLY
28%
26%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LYO
0 - 0
MAR
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
FRE
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GAP
0 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
HYE
36%
30%
35%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |