Sporting Toulon Var vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1997 |
SPO
1 - 0
STA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1997 |
SPO
1 - 3
TFC
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1997 |
AMI
1 - 0
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
LMU
1 - 1
SPO
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
SPO
0 - 1
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1997 |
LOR
0 - 2
CHA
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1997 |
LOR
4 - 0
CSL
52%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1997 |
CHA
4 - 0
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
RED
2 - 1
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
LOR
0 - 0
FCM
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |