Sporting Toulon Var vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1990 |
MPL
0 - 0
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
SOC
0 - 0
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 0
REN
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
ASN
2 - 1
SPO
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 2
BRE
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1990 |
LIL
3 - 2
ASS
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
LIL
0 - 2
CAN
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
LIL
3 - 0
TFC
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |