Sporting Toulon Var vs Jura Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
8º
8º
41
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 3
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 2
THO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
SPO
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
HYE
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AND
1 - 2
JUR
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
JUR
0 - 0
THO
55%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HYE
0 - 0
JUR
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
JUR
1 - 1
LPV
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
JUR
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |