Sporting Toulon Var vs Jura Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
15º
13º
49
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 4
SPO
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 2
LYO
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SÈT
0 - 2
SPO
58%
26%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
FRE
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CRF
1 - 0
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
JUR
3 - 0
OLY
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 2
JUR
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JUR
1 - 1
OLY
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CSL
0 - 1
JUR
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
JUR
2 - 0
GRA
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |