Sporting Toulon Var vs Evian Thonon Gaillard II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
GAR
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
SPO
22%
24%
53%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 0
EVI
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EVI
0 - 0
NIC
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
EVI
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 2
EVI
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
EVI
1 - 1
BAS
11%
22%
67%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |