Sporting Toulon Var vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 1
GAZ
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
AND
1 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
FCM
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SAE
1 - 1
SPO
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 1
JUR
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CAB
4 - 4
OLY
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LYO
4 - 2
CAB
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CAB
0 - 0
FRE
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GAP
2 - 2
CAB
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CAB
2 - 1
HYE
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |