Sporting Toulon Var vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 1
SPO
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
3 - 0
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAB
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 2
EPM
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |