Sporting Toulon Var vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
8º
8º
21
8º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THO
3 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
TOU
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HYE
0 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
CHA
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
CRF
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
TOU
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
62%
23%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
FRE
21%
27%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
BOU
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 0
LDU
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |