Sporting Tías vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+149%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Tías
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
STI
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
STI
1 - 1
TEL
30%
25%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CDA
0 - 0
STI
47%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
STI
1 - 1
TEG
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
UDB
1 - 1
STI
56%
23%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 0
YAI
29%
25%
46%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
VEC
3 - 2
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 2
SPM
24%
24%
53%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
UNV
2 - 1
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 2
ARG
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |