Sporting Sant Marçal vs CSD Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Sant Marçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
POL
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CDE
4 - 2
SPO
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 4
MUR
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 2
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CSD
3 - 1
CFP
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CDE
4 - 1
CSD
62%
21%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CSD
1 - 1
CDG
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 3
CSD
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CSD
3 - 2
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |