Sporting San Miguelito vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
SMI
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SFF
1 - 0
SMI
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SMI
2 - 2
TAU
34%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
SMI
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
SMI
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
AMA
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
GEM
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
IND
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
AFC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
IND
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |