Sporting San Miguelito vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
SMI
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 1
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
SMI
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
SMI
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TAU
3 - 3
IND
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
AMA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |