Sporting San Miguelito vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SMI
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SMI
2 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
0 - 0
SMI
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 3
AMA
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 1
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARA
39%
28%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 0
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |