Sporting San Miguelito II vs Universidad de Panamá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
27
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
2 - 3
SSM
8%
18%
75%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TFC
4 - 1
SSM
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SSM
3 - 1
TFC
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
4 - 2
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad de Panamá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 1
CHA
37%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UDP
0 - 2
VCD
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
AFM
0 - 1
UDP
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 1
AFM
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
UFC
1 - 2
UDP
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |