Sporting San Miguelito II vs UMECIT II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
22
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 1
SSM
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 2
SSM
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 0
SMA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 1
TFC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
SSM
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UME
4 - 1
SMA
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
UME
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 60 | 37 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UME
2 - 1
CDP
10%
18%
72%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
UME
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 1
UME
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |