Sporting San Miguelito II vs Tauro II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
31
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 95.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
SSM
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
PCF
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
SSM
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SSM
3 - 2
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
SSM
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tauro II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UDP
3 - 2
TFC
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 1
COL
76%
15%
8%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 4
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 0
AFC
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 3
TFC
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |