Sporting San Miguelito II vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
7
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
SSM
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 0
UDP
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
2 - 3
SSM
8%
18%
75%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TFC
4 - 1
SSM
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SSM
3 - 1
TFC
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
CHA
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
COL
4%
10%
86%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
ARA
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
COL
3 - 3
CEN
59%
19%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |