Sporting San Miguelito II vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
3º
5
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
SSM
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 1
SSM
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SSM
8 - 1
CDE
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 2
CDP
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
SSM
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 7
UME
12%
22%
66%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
6 - 4
CEN
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 3
PCF
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
CEN
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 6
CDE
16%
21%
64%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -2 |