Sporting San Miguelito II vs Alianza II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
3º
18
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
SSM
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COL
3 - 3
SSM
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 0
UME
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 5
SSM
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SSM
0 - 0
ARA
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 1
AFC
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 0
AFC
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |