Sporting San Martin vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ADL
0 - 1
SSM
47%
23%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SSM
2 - 0
LAB
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SSM
3 - 2
ATZ
31%
23%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
APB
2 - 0
SSM
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SSM
3 - 3
CEN
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 3
COB
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SPH
0 - 3
UCA
27%
22%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
FOB
1 - 3
UCA
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
UCA
4 - 0
EDP
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SSA
0 - 4
UCA
16%
17%
67%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |