Sporting FC vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
7º
7º
39
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUN
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 2
SPO
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
SPO
20%
22%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
LDA
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
17%
20%
63%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 4
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
MRP
65%
19%
17%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |