Sporting FC vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
6º
37
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPO
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 2
SAP
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 2
SPO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
SPO
28%
26%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
LDA
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CSH
0 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |