Sporting FC vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
7º
26
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CSC
3 - 2
SPO
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAP
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 2
PFC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPO
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |