Sporting Pontenova vs Candelaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Pontenova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RCV
2 - 1
PON
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PON
5 - 1
ABA
69%
16%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 0
PON
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PON
4 - 2
COS
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 3
PON
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Candelaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 2
MUI
56%
21%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
IBE
1 - 0
CAN
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
XER
20%
22%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ROU
2 - 0
CAN
34%
24%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |