Sporting Pontenova vs Alfoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+309%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Pontenova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
PON
11%
18%
71%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ROU
1 - 1
PON
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PON
3 - 3
MUI
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IBE
3 - 2
PON
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
XER
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 1
MUI
52%
23%
25%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IBE
1 - 0
ALF
82%
13%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 0
XER
21%
24%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 1
ALF
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
RCV
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |