Sporting Orihuela vs G. Caliche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
44.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Orihuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DHO
0 - 0
SPO
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 4
CFP
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
8 - 0
MON
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 3
CAL
19%
20%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ATO
2 - 2
SPO
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 2
ATO
38%
22%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RED
4 - 1
GRU
30%
21%
50%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 3
GRU
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 2
MON
27%
21%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 2
GRU
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |