Sporting Nava vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
ASU
41%
21%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LAS
0 - 4
ASU
5%
11%
84%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ASU
1 - 1
MAT
40%
21%
39%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RSC
2 - 3
ASU
12%
16%
71%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ASU
4 - 0
NOL
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 5
MON
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 3
VIL
48%
23%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 2
PRA
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |