Sporting Nava vs Real Sitio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAS
3 - 2
ASU
56%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ASU
4 - 1
VAL
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SMM
2 - 0
ASU
38%
21%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ASU
2 - 2
MOZ
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASU
3 - 0
UNA
73%
15%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sitio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RSI
2 - 2
CAR
45%
23%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
RSI
48%
21%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RSI
4 - 1
ESR
67%
17%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 3
RSI
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSI
3 - 1
TUR
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |