Sporting Nava vs Real Sitio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 1
ASU
9%
14%
76%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASU
0 - 4
ESR
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
ASU
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ASU
1 - 2
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 2
ASU
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sitio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RSI
2 - 1
CUE
56%
19%
25%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 6
RSI
28%
19%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSI
0 - 2
CAN
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
COC
3 - 0
RSI
37%
21%
43%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 3
RSI
7%
12%
82%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |