Sporting Nava vs Vallelado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SMM
2 - 0
ASU
38%
21%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ASU
2 - 2
MOZ
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASU
3 - 0
UNA
73%
15%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
ASU
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ASU
1 - 2
CAN
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vallelado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAR
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MON
5 - 2
VAL
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAL
5 - 0
ATC
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 5
UNI
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
PRA
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |