Sporting Nava vs Mozoncillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
ASU
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNA
2 - 5
ASU
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ASU
2 - 3
MON
43%
21%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COC
0 - 0
ASU
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CUE
2 - 3
ASU
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mozoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
1 - 4
CUE
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
7 - 0
CAB
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 1
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 3
RSI
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 1
MOZ
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |