Sporting Nava vs Bernardos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ASU
3 - 1
SMM
71%
16%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ASU
3 - 3
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
5 - 1
ASU
45%
21%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASU
3 - 2
UNA
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
3 - 0
ASU
54%
20%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Bernardos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
UNI
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 1
BER
71%
16%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
PIN
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ESR
3 - 3
BER
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
ATC
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |