Sporting Nava vs Atlético Hontanares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
49%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ASU
1 - 4
SMM
36%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 0
ASU
51%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAB
4 - 1
ASU
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
4 - 1
ASU
69%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 2
ASU
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Hontanares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
ATC
47%
21%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SMM
2 - 3
ATC
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 2
ATC
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATC
1 - 5
CAB
20%
19%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
3 - 1
ATC
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |