Sporting Mertzig vs Wincrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DCE
0 - 1
MER
30%
21%
49%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
RLL
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
2 - 0
MER
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MER
3 - 0
JEU
54%
20%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FEU
2 - 2
MER
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
JGI
58%
18%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
ERP
22%
19%
59%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DCE
1 - 0
WIN
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 1
RLL
92%
5%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATE
5 - 1
WIN
90%
8%
3%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |