Sporting Mertzig vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BWM
3 - 1
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MER
2 - 3
PRE
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ORA
5 - 3
MER
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
MAR
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 3
MER
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOE
0 - 6
LOR
19%
19%
62%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 2
RES
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 3
JEU
40%
24%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
RES
3 - 2
LOR
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KEH
1 - 3
LOR
29%
23%
49%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |