Sporting Mertzig vs Hosingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
10º
32
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MER
3 - 1
BER
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FFN
3 - 0
MER
64%
17%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
MER
6%
12%
81%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MER
1 - 7
LOR
10%
16%
75%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hosingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HOS
2 - 2
MLI
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
HOS
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HOS
2 - 4
BER
43%
22%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HOS
1 - 3
AVE
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOS
3 - 2
COL
86%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |