Sporting Mertzig vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
JGI
1 - 2
MER
16%
17%
67%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
WIN
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DCE
0 - 1
MER
30%
21%
49%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
RLL
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
2 - 0
MER
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ERP
1 - 4
YBD
19%
23%
59%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JGI
1 - 1
ERP
26%
20%
54%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ERP
2 - 5
FFN
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
ERP
22%
19%
59%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ERP
1 - 1
BER
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |