Sporting Mertzig vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
10º
40
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MER
3 - 0
JUS
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
KEH
0 - 3
MER
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
FCA
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MLI
1 - 2
MER
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
BAS
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HOS
2 - 1
ERP
61%
18%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ERP
2 - 3
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 2
ERP
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ERP
1 - 7
LOR
6%
13%
82%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
YBD
6 - 0
ERP
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |