Sporting Mertzig vs Daring Echternach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 4
MER
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
SWI
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 3
JEU
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HOS
3 - 2
MER
37%
24%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
FFN
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Daring Echternach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
JEU
0 - 0
DCE
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DCE
1 - 2
FFN
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KEH
5 - 0
DCE
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DCE
1 - 2
BBM
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PRE
2 - 1
DCE
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |